QB
Matthew Stafford
LAQB18 · overall #158 · tier 6 · age 38
Projected points
226
15.9/gm
Value over replacement
-6
repl 261
Range
192–260
sd 34
Week
14.8
vs SF
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Pass attempts
- 457
- Pass yards
- 3538
- Pass TD
- 23.3
- Carries
- 24
- Rush yards
- 54
- Rush TD
- 0.3
- Games projected
- 14.2
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 16.7
- Games of history
- 57
- Age multiplier
- 0.920
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 33.6
- Projected plays / game
- 62.0
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- +0.83
- OL pass protection
- +0.80
- OL continuity
- 82%
- 2TE rate
- 31%
- 3WR rate
- 69%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 49%
- Run friendly
- -0.62
- Scheme creativity
- +1.30
- Play action / motion
- 32% / 70%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- settled
- Ambiguity score
- 24
- Effective contributors
- –
- Top player's share
- –
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.34
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- SF,NYG,DEN
- Window matchup
- +0.44
- Opponents after
- PHI,BUF,ARI
- After matchup
- +0.49
- Flip edge
- -0.04
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 11
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.48
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
17
Points
350.4
Per game
20.61
17-gm pace
350
Best / worst
30.9 / 9.3
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Cmp | Att | Pa Yds | Pa TD | INT | Ru Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13.6 | 21 | 29 | 245 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -2 | 0 |
| 2 | 17.3 | 23 | 33 | 298 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -6 | 0 |
| 3 | 13.8 | 19 | 33 | 196 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 27.4 | 29 | 41 | 375 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| 5 | 25.6 | 30 | 47 | 389 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 9.3 | 17 | 26 | 181 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| 7 | 27.4 | 21 | 33 | 182 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| 9 | 26.8 | 24 | 32 | 281 | 4 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 |
| 10 | 26.9 | 24 | 36 | 280 | 4 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 11 | 13.2 | 15 | 28 | 130 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | 22.9 | 25 | 35 | 273 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | 11.6 | 18 | 28 | 243 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | 23.2 | 22 | 31 | 281 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 20.9 | 24 | 38 | 368 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | 30.9 | 29 | 49 | 457 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 | 12.8 | 22 | 38 | 269 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | 26.7 | 25 | 40 | 259 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |