Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Mason Tipton

NO

WR124 · overall #287 · tier – · age 26

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Projected points

16

2.2/gm

Value over replacement

-37

repl 119

Range

0–40

sd 24

Week

0.0

vs ATL

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
14
Carries
2
Receptions
8
Rec yards
90
Rush yards
7
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
0.4
Total TD
0.4
Games projected
7.1
Observed pts/gm (history)
2.3
Games of history
17
Age multiplier
1.009
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
31.6
Projected plays / game
62.8
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-0.21
OL pass protection
+0.11
OL continuity
76%
2TE rate
25%
3WR rate
69%
1st-down pass rate
47%
Run friendly
-0.26
Scheme creativity
-0.29
Play action / motion
19% / 59%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
3.72
Top player's share
45%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
ATL,MIN,NYG
Window matchup
+0.02
Opponents after
PIT,CLE
After matchup
+0.48
Flip edge
-0.45
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
8
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.25

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

8

Points

9.4

Per game

1.17

17-gm pace

20

Best / worst

4.1 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
60.0WR99000000
70.0WR101100000
80.0WR93100000
123.3WR4943220111
131.9WR77432001-1
140.0WR101000000
150.1WR10321501-4
164.1WR5354290112