Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

TE

Mason Taylor

NYJ

TE33 · overall #200 · tier 7 · age 22

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Projected points

70

5.2/gm

Value over replacement

-24

repl 111

Range

42–99

sd 28

Week

4.1

@ TEN

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
59
Carries
1
Receptions
42
Rec yards
389
Rush yards
2
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
1.7
Total TD
1.7
Games projected
13.6
Observed pts/gm (history)
6.7
Games of history
13
Age multiplier
1.060
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.2
Projected plays / game
60.8
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-0.25
OL pass protection
-0.19
OL continuity
81%
2TE rate
22%
3WR rate
72%
1st-down pass rate
41%
Run friendly
-0.44
Scheme creativity
-0.09
Play action / motion
19% / 57%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
38
Effective contributors
2.18
Top player's share
61%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.40

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
TEN,GB,DET
Window matchup
-0.67
Opponents after
CHI,CLE,NE
After matchup
-0.61
Flip edge
-0.06
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
13
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.32

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

13

Points

44.9

Per game

3.45

17-gm pace

59

Best / worst

9.4 / 0.2

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
12.011200
20.52150
31.864180
46.575650
58.7129670
60.21120
73.153310
89.485341
100.42140
113.044300
122.153210
132.142210
145.185510