WR
Marvin Mims Jr.
DENWR93 · overall #226 · tier – · age 24
Projected points
55
5.2/gm
Value over replacement
-24
repl 119
Range
0–115
sd 60
Week
0.9
@ SF
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 34
- Carries
- 6
- Receptions
- 23
- Rec yards
- 288
- Rush yards
- 32
- Rush TD
- 0.1
- Rec TD
- 2.0
- Total TD
- 2.1
- Games projected
- 10.6
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 6.3
- Games of history
- 48
- Age multiplier
- 1.044
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 33.2
- Projected plays / game
- 62.2
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- +1.17
- OL pass protection
- +1.48
- OL continuity
- 98%
- 2TE rate
- 23%
- 3WR rate
- 72%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 49%
- Run friendly
- -0.37
- Scheme creativity
- +0.15
- Play action / motion
- 25% / 43%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 75
- Effective contributors
- 3.92
- Top player's share
- 35%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- avoid
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- SF,LAC,SEA
- Window matchup
- -0.39
- Opponents after
- ARI,KC,CAR
- After matchup
- +0.03
- Flip edge
- -0.41
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 10
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.49
2025 game log
full season · Half PPR
Games
15
Points
76.5
Per game
5.10
17-gm pace
87
Best / worst
17.5 / 0.2
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2.7 | WR82 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 9.4 | WR41 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 0.9 | WR116 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 17.5 | WR10 | 6 | 6 | 69 | 0 | 1 | 16 |
| 5 | 2.9 | WR70 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 |
| 6 | 3.8 | WR63 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 0 | 1 | -2 |
| 7 | 12.8 | WR18 | 7 | 6 | 85 | 0 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | 1.8 | WR78 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 |
| 11 | 0.2 | WR105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 13 | 2.7 | WR79 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 9 |
| 14 | 7.2 | WR38 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 15 | 5.7 | WR55 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 0 | 1 | 8 |
| 16 | 4.4 | WR67 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 17 | 2.5 | WR82 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | 2.0 | WR78 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 |