Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

WR

Marvin Harrison Jr.

ARI

WR22 · overall #63 · tier 6 · age 24

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Projected points

147

10.6/gm

Value over replacement

47

repl 115

Range

94–201

sd 54

Week

7.9

@ LAC

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
105
Carries
0
Receptions
61
Rec yards
807
Rush yards
0
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
6.1
Total TD
6.1
Games projected
13.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
11.4
Games of history
29
Age multiplier
1.044
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.3
Projected plays / game
61.8
Projected pass rate
59%
OL run block
-0.66
OL pass protection
-0.78
OL continuity
0%
2TE rate
48%
3WR rate
52%
1st-down pass rate
49%
Run friendly
-0.40
Scheme creativity
+0.44
Play action / motion
25% / 40%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
88
Effective contributors
3.31
Top player's share
46%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.93

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
LAC,SEA,SF
Window matchup
-1.53
Opponents after
NYG,DET,LA
After matchup
-0.26
Flip edge
-1.27
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
14
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.22

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

12

Points

127.8

Per game

10.65

17-gm pace

181

Best / worst

22.6 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
118.16571100
24.75227000
37.46344000
418.610666100
513.85498000
65.22232000
77.86258000
922.610796100
1014.312333100
1312.97669000
162.43114000
170.0100000