Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Marquise Brown

PHI

WR91 · overall #216 · tier – · age 29

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Projected points

45

5.2/gm

Value over replacement

-19

repl 119

Range

0–102

sd 57

Week

1.5

vs LA

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
34
Carries
1
Receptions
20
Rec yards
251
Rush yards
6
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
1.8
Total TD
1.8
Games projected
8.6
Observed pts/gm (history)
8.9
Games of history
43
Age multiplier
0.876
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.8
Projected plays / game
61.3
Projected pass rate
53%
OL run block
+1.28
OL pass protection
+1.10
OL continuity
81%
2TE rate
36%
3WR rate
63%
1st-down pass rate
43%
Run friendly
+0.90
Scheme creativity
+0.20
Play action / motion
23% / 46%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
63
Effective contributors
2.93
Top player's share
42%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.79

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
LA,JAX,CAR
Window matchup
+0.11
Opponents after
DAL,WAS,NYG
After matchup
+0.99
Flip edge
-0.88
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
10
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.27

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

16

Points

88.7

Per game

5.54

17-gm pace

94

Best / worst

16.5 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
19.9WR21161099000
23.0WR765530000
34.2WR496442000
49.8WR235338100
54.8WR538448000
616.5WR54445200
77.4WR274214100
80.0WR93100000
97.3WR324273000
114.0WR484440000
121.0WR801110000
138.0WR292220100
143.5WR452135000
162.2WR793322000
170.7WR101317000
186.4WR266364000