Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

TE

Mark Andrews

BAL

TE11 · overall #107 · tier 3 · age 31

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Projected points

106

7.9/gm

Value over replacement

13

repl 112

Range

46–167

sd 61

Week

7.2

vs TEN

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
65
Carries
4
Receptions
47
Rec yards
493
Rush yards
11
Rush TD
0.2
Rec TD
5.0
Total TD
5.2
Games projected
13.4
Observed pts/gm (history)
10.0
Games of history
59
Age multiplier
0.888
Usage carryover
0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.9
Projected plays / game
60.2
Projected pass rate
53%
OL run block
+0.50
OL pass protection
-0.17
OL continuity
57%
2TE rate
45%
3WR rate
34%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
+0.69
Scheme creativity
+0.62
Play action / motion
23% / 53%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach
Ambiguity score
91
Effective contributors
2.35
Top player's share
57%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
2.01

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
TEN,ATL,CLE
Window matchup
-0.06
Opponents after
CIN,BUF,JAX
After matchup
+0.33
Flip edge
-0.39
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
13
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.11

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

17

Points

131.0

Per game

7.71

17-gm pace

131

Best / worst

27.1 / 1.4

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
11.5TE491150
21.4TE543120
327.1TE266912
410.0TE1787300
54.2TE3332220
66.6TE2664240
86.4TE2133340
916.6TE532222
1010.4TE953141
1115.7TE553320
122.1TE383190
138.7TE1764470
141.9TE455190
153.8TE3832180
164.4TE3632210
176.8TE2544280
183.4TE3832140