Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Malik Washington

MIA

WR77 · overall #180 · tier 9 · age 25

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Projected points

100

6.9/gm

Value over replacement

-8

repl 119

Range

64–136

sd 36

Week

4.8

@ MIN

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
75
Carries
10
Receptions
49
Rec yards
505
Rush yards
53
Rush TD
0.6
Rec TD
2.2
Total TD
2.8
Games projected
14.6
Observed pts/gm (history)
6.1
Games of history
31
Age multiplier
1.026
Usage carryover
0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
35.6
Projected plays / game
60.1
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-1.09
OL pass protection
-0.47
OL continuity
69%
2TE rate
25%
3WR rate
46%
1st-down pass rate
42%
Run friendly
-0.06
Scheme creativity
+1.42
Play action / motion
26% / 73%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score
98
Effective contributors
3.82
Top player's share
41%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
2.55

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
MIN,CIN
Window matchup
-1.52
Opponents after
NYJ,NE,DET
After matchup
+0.40
Flip edge
-1.91
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
6
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.70

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

17

Points

93.7

Per game

5.51

17-gm pace

94

Best / worst

11.6 / 1.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
13.9WR705220019
29.0WR432120323
34.7WR6053120220
43.1WR743213028
52.0WR84540000
64.3WR555422011
75.5WR528530000
811.6WR195436100
95.6WR5333480313
108.3WR35329114
115.7WR463342000
135.0WR515430000
142.5WR754310000
151.5WR921110000
169.7WR281123019
171.0WR106314011
1810.3WR214361222