Malachi Corley

CLE

WR210 · overall #477 · tier – · age 24

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Projected points

2.0/gm

Value over replacement

-66

repl 119

Range

7–41

sd 17

Week

0.3

vs PIT

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Per game Season total

Targets: 17
Carries: 8
Receptions: 11
Rec yards: 110
Rush yards: 48
Rush TD: 0.0
Rec TD: 0.4
Total TD: 0.4
Games projected: 12.0
Observed pts/gm (history): 2.4
Games of history: 17
Age multiplier: 1.044
Usage carryover: 0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 33.4
Projected plays / game: 61.0
Projected pass rate: 58%
OL run block: -1.18
OL pass protection: -1.79
OL continuity: 28%
2TE rate: 37%
3WR rate: 63%
1st-down pass rate: 44%
Run friendly: +1.14
Scheme creativity: -0.09
Play action / motion: 23% / 44%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score: 98
Effective contributors: 3.52
Top player's share: 46%
New play-caller: yes
Variance multiplier: 2.55

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: buy low
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: PIT,NYJ,BAL
Window matchup: -0.25
Opponents after: TEN,PIT,NO
After matchup: -0.30
Flip edge: +0.05
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 11
Playoff schedule (15-17): -0.27

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

31.6

Per game

2.63

17-gm pace

Best / worst

6.1 / 0.2

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Tgt	Rec	Re Yds	Att	Ru Yds
5	1.1	WR98	0	0	0	1	11
7	3.7	WR71	2	2	17	0	0
8	3.1	WR73	0	0	0	1	31
10	3.2	WR70	1	0	0	2	32
11	2.9	WR77	2	2	9	0	0
12	1.2	WR93	1	1	8	1	-6
13	0.9	WR106	0	0	0	1	9
14	0.2	WR100	0	0	0	1	2
15	2.0	WR92	1	1	10	0	0
16	6.1	WR64	4	2	11	3	30
17	1.4	WR112	1	1	4	0	0
18	5.8	WR49	2	2	20	3	18