WR
Mack Hollins
NEWR115 · overall #264 · tier – · age 33
Projected points
74
5.1/gm
Value over replacement
-34
repl 119
Range
31–118
sd 43
Week
5.7
@ BUF
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 54
- Carries
- 3
- Receptions
- 34
- Rec yards
- 406
- Rush yards
- 21
- Rush TD
- 0.0
- Rec TD
- 2.3
- Total TD
- 2.3
- Games projected
- 14.5
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 7.0
- Games of history
- 60
- Age multiplier
- 0.750
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 34.3
- Projected plays / game
- 60.1
- Projected pass rate
- 57%
- OL run block
- -0.38
- OL pass protection
- -0.39
- OL continuity
- 72%
- 2TE rate
- 31%
- 3WR rate
- 57%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 43%
- Run friendly
- +0.11
- Scheme creativity
- -0.58
- Play action / motion
- 21% / 48%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 75
- Effective contributors
- 4.15
- Top player's share
- 36%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- buy low
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- BUF,LV,NYJ
- Window matchup
- +0.05
- Opponents after
- CHI,MIA,GB
- After matchup
- +0.06
- Flip edge
- -0.00
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 11
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.45
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
14
Points
67.4
Per game
4.81
17-gm pace
82
Best / worst
10.6 / 0.3
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.3 | WR111 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 6.8 | WR47 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 2.7 | WR68 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 6.4 | WR35 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 2.8 | WR54 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | 5.3 | WR40 | 2 | 2 | 49 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | 8.9 | WR24 | 7 | 7 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | 0.9 | WR82 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | 10.6 | WR22 | 10 | 6 | 106 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | 6.4 | WR26 | 5 | 4 | 64 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | 3.0 | WR55 | 6 | 2 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | 2.3 | WR68 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 4.1 | WR54 | 8 | 4 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 6.9 | WR34 | 9 | 7 | 69 | 0 | 0 | 0 |