Mac Jones

QB47 · overall #531 · tier – · age 28

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Projected points

8.2/gm

Value over replacement

-75

repl 250

Range

44–120

sd 38

Week

2.4

vs DEN

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Per game Season total

Pass attempts: 212
Pass yards: 1459
Pass TD: 8.3
Carries: 16
Rush yards: 61
Rush TD: 0.3
Games projected: 10.0
Observed pts/gm (history): 10.8
Games of history: 46
Age multiplier: 1.012
Usage carryover: 1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 35.5
Projected plays / game: 59.5
Projected pass rate: 56%
OL run block: -0.01
OL pass protection: -0.56
OL continuity: 78%
2TE rate: 17%
3WR rate: 45%
1st-down pass rate: 46%
Run friendly: +0.64
Scheme creativity: +0.36
Play action / motion: 23% / 70%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: settled
Ambiguity score: 24
Effective contributors: –
Top player's share: –
New play-caller: no
Variance multiplier: 1.34

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: hold
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: DEN,SEA,WAS
Window matchup: -0.19
Opponents after: ATL,LV
After matchup: -0.01
Flip edge: -0.18
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 8
Playoff schedule (15-17): -1.02

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

130.0

Per game

11.82

17-gm pace

201

Best / worst

23.1 / -0.3

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Cmp	Att	Pa Yds	Pa TD	INT	Ru Att	Ru Yds
2	21.8	QB8	26	39	279	3	0	6	6
3	13.3	QB17	27	41	284	1	1	1	-1
5	22.2	QB10	33	49	342	2	0	4	5
6	11.2	QB22	27	39	347	0	2	5	13
7	5.2	QB26	17	26	152	0	1	5	11
8	18.0	QB14	19	32	193	2	1	2	23
9	15.8	QB17	19	24	235	2	0	4	4
10	23.1	QB6	33	39	319	3	1	1	3
11	-0.3	QB37	0	0	0	0	0	3	-3
13	0.2	QB33	0	0	0	0	0	2	2
16	-0.3	QB42	0	0	0	0	0	3	-3