WR
Luther Burden III
CHIWR24 · overall #71 · tier 6 · age 22
Projected points
146
10.1/gm
Value over replacement
43
repl 115
Range
94–198
sd 52
Week
9.1
@ CAR
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 97
- Carries
- 7
- Receptions
- 64
- Rec yards
- 867
- Rush yards
- 38
- Rush TD
- 0.0
- Rec TD
- 3.7
- Total TD
- 3.7
- Games projected
- 14.4
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 8.3
- Games of history
- 15
- Age multiplier
- 1.052
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 32.8
- Projected plays / game
- 62.4
- Projected pass rate
- 56%
- OL run block
- +1.37
- OL pass protection
- +1.06
- OL continuity
- 82%
- 2TE rate
- 36%
- 3WR rate
- 64%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 45%
- Run friendly
- +0.60
- Scheme creativity
- +0.58
- Play action / motion
- 26% / 54%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 75
- Effective contributors
- 4.26
- Top player's share
- 29%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- avoid
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- CAR,MIN,PHI
- Window matchup
- -0.58
- Opponents after
- NYJ,GB,ATL
- After matchup
- +0.71
- Flip edge
- -1.29
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 10
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.24
2025 game log
full season · Half PPR
Games
15
Points
104.4
Per game
6.96
17-gm pace
118
Best / worst
23.8 / 0.2
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.2 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 18.3 | 3 | 3 | 101 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | 0.6 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 7.1 | 4 | 4 | 51 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | 2.6 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 0 | 1 | -1 |
| 8 | 0.4 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | 6.6 | 3 | 3 | 51 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | 4.2 | 5 | 3 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | 7.6 | 5 | 3 | 46 | 0 | 1 | 15 |
| 13 | 5.6 | 6 | 4 | 33 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | 9.0 | 6 | 4 | 67 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | 11.4 | 7 | 6 | 84 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 23.8 | 9 | 8 | 138 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | 6.0 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 0 | 1 | 10 |