TE
Luke Farrell
SFTE97 · overall #481 · tier – · age 28
Projected points
41
2.7/gm
Value over replacement
-66
repl 112
Range
26–56
sd 15
Week
1.7
vs DEN
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 30
- Carries
- 1
- Receptions
- 23
- Rec yards
- 202
- Rush yards
- 1
- Rush TD
- 0.0
- Rec TD
- 1.0
- Total TD
- 1.0
- Games projected
- 15.3
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 2.1
- Games of history
- 39
- Age multiplier
- 0.956
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 35.5
- Projected plays / game
- 59.5
- Projected pass rate
- 56%
- OL run block
- -0.01
- OL pass protection
- -0.56
- OL continuity
- 78%
- 2TE rate
- 17%
- 3WR rate
- 45%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 46%
- Run friendly
- +0.64
- Scheme creativity
- +0.36
- Play action / motion
- 23% / 70%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- settled
- Ambiguity score
- 45
- Effective contributors
- 2.39
- Top player's share
- 53%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.47
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- DEN,SEA,WAS
- Window matchup
- -0.06
- Opponents after
- ATL,LV
- After matchup
- -0.33
- Flip edge
- +0.27
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 8
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.99
2025 game log
full season · Half PPR
Games
13
Points
24.0
Per game
1.85
17-gm pace
31
Best / worst
8.5 / 0.0
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.9 | TE53 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 2 | 8.5 | TE10 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 1 |
| 4 | 1.0 | TE51 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 0 |
| 5 | 1.3 | TE49 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| 6 | 0.0 | TE60 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | 1.6 | TE40 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 |
| 8 | 0.0 | TE48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | 1.4 | TE49 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 | 8.5 | TE12 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 1 |
| 11 | 0.0 | TE57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | 0.8 | TE54 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 | 0.0 | TE61 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 0.0 | TE64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |