Lil'Jordan Humphrey

DEN

WR117 · overall #270 · tier – · age 28

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Projected points

3.7/gm

Value over replacement

-34

repl 119

Range

0–69

sd 35

Week

1.0

@ SF

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Per game Season total

Targets / game: 2.8
Carries / game: 0.1
Receptions / game: 1.7
Rec yards / game: 21
Rush yards / game: 0
Rush TD / game: 0.00
Rec TD / game: 0.15
Total TD / game: 0.15
Games projected: 9.2
Observed pts/gm (history): 4.6
Games of history: 36
Age multiplier: 0.908
Usage carryover: 1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 33.2
Projected plays / game: 62.2
Projected pass rate: 58%
OL run block: +1.17
OL pass protection: +1.48
OL continuity: 98%
2TE rate: 23%
3WR rate: 72%
1st-down pass rate: 49%
Run friendly: -0.37
Scheme creativity: +0.15
Play action / motion: 25% / 43%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: committee
Ambiguity score: 75
Effective contributors: 3.92
Top player's share: 35%
New play-caller: no
Variance multiplier: 1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: avoid
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: SF,LAC,SEA
Window matchup: -0.39
Opponents after: ARI,KC,CAR
After matchup: +0.03
Flip edge: -0.41
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 10
Playoff schedule (15-17): +0.49

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

21.6

Per game

3.09

17-gm pace

Best / worst

10.2 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Tgt	Rec	Re Yds	Re TD
6	5.5	WR34	8	4	55	0
7	0.0	WR101	2	0	0	0
13	0.0	WR108	1	0	0	0
14	2.7	WR57	3	3	27	0
15	10.2	WR22	4	3	42	1
16	0.9	WR102	2	1	9	0
17	2.3	WR70	5	2	23	0