Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Lil'Jordan Humphrey

DEN

WR117 · overall #270 · tier – · age 28

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Projected points

34

3.7/gm

Value over replacement

-34

repl 119

Range

0–69

sd 35

Week

1.0

@ SF

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
25
Carries
1
Receptions
16
Rec yards
192
Rush yards
4
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
1.3
Total TD
1.3
Games projected
9.2
Observed pts/gm (history)
4.6
Games of history
36
Age multiplier
0.908
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.2
Projected plays / game
62.2
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
+1.17
OL pass protection
+1.48
OL continuity
98%
2TE rate
23%
3WR rate
72%
1st-down pass rate
49%
Run friendly
-0.37
Scheme creativity
+0.15
Play action / motion
25% / 43%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
3.92
Top player's share
35%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
SF,LAC,SEA
Window matchup
-0.39
Opponents after
ARI,KC,CAR
After matchup
+0.03
Flip edge
-0.41
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
10
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.49

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

7

Points

28.1

Per game

4.01

17-gm pace

68

Best / worst

11.7 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
67.5WR348455000
70.0WR103200000
130.0WR108100000
144.2WR543327000
1511.7WR254342100
161.4WR102219000
173.3WR755223000