Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Lew Nichols III

PIT

RB94 · overall #327 · tier – · age 25

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Projected points

24

2.6/gm

Value over replacement

-43

repl 116

Range

5–44

sd 19

Week

1.1

@ CLE

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
7
Carries
32
Receptions
5
Rec yards
36
Rush yards
128
Rush TD
0.6
Rec TD
0.1
Total TD
0.7
Games projected
9.3
Observed pts/gm (history)
0.0
Games of history
1
Age multiplier
1.000
Usage carryover
0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.5
Projected plays / game
61.4
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-0.51
OL pass protection
+0.02
OL continuity
65%
2TE rate
45%
3WR rate
52%
1st-down pass rate
45%
Run friendly
-0.86
Scheme creativity
-0.29
Play action / motion
21% / 51%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach
Ambiguity score
86
Effective contributors
2.14
Top player's share
60%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
1.91

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
CLE,IND,TB
Window matchup
-0.14
Opponents after
NO,CLE
After matchup
-0.09
Flip edge
-0.05
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
9
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.21

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

1

Points

0.0

Per game

0.00

17-gm pace

0

Best / worst

0.0 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
90.0RB670000000