QB
Kyler Murray
MINQB25 · overall #117 · tier 7 · age 29
Projected points
196
17.4/gm
Value over replacement
12
repl 261
Range
163–230
sd 33
Week
12.2
vs GB
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Pass attempts
- 372
- Pass yards
- 2609
- Pass TD
- 15.3
- Carries
- 56
- Rush yards
- 292
- Rush TD
- 2.7
- Games projected
- 11.3
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 17.4
- Games of history
- 41
- Age multiplier
- 1.000
- Usage carryover
- 0.89
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 33.1
- Projected plays / game
- 61.1
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- -0.03
- OL pass protection
- +0.12
- OL continuity
- 79%
- 2TE rate
- 27%
- 3WR rate
- 63%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 46%
- Run friendly
- -0.77
- Scheme creativity
- +0.21
- Play action / motion
- 26% / 52%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- settled
- Ambiguity score
- 24
- Effective contributors
- –
- Top player's share
- –
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.34
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- GB,CHI,TB
- Window matchup
- -0.02
- Opponents after
- MIA,NO
- After matchup
- +0.66
- Flip edge
- -0.69
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 6
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.87
2025 game log
full season · Half PPR
Games
5
Points
77.8
Per game
15.56
17-gm pace
264
Best / worst
18.3 / 14.0
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Cmp | Att | Pa Yds | Pa TD | INT | Ru Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18.3 | 21 | 29 | 163 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 38 | 0 |
| 2 | 14.0 | 17 | 25 | 220 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 32 | 0 |
| 3 | 14.1 | 22 | 35 | 159 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 37 | 0 |
| 4 | 16.1 | 27 | 41 | 200 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 41 | 0 |
| 5 | 15.3 | 23 | 31 | 220 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 1 |