Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Kyle Williams

NE

WR163 · overall #384 · tier – · age 23

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Projected points

59

3.9/gm

Value over replacement

-52

repl 119

Range

21–98

sd 39

Week

1.0

@ BUF

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
37
Carries
4
Receptions
21
Rec yards
296
Rush yards
17
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
2.4
Total TD
2.4
Games projected
15.0
Observed pts/gm (history)
3.5
Games of history
14
Age multiplier
1.052
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.3
Projected plays / game
60.1
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-0.38
OL pass protection
-0.39
OL continuity
72%
2TE rate
31%
3WR rate
57%
1st-down pass rate
43%
Run friendly
+0.11
Scheme creativity
-0.58
Play action / motion
21% / 48%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
4.15
Top player's share
36%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy low
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
BUF,LV,NYJ
Window matchup
+0.05
Opponents after
CHI,MIA,GB
After matchup
+0.06
Flip edge
-0.00
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.45

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

14

Points

44.2

Per game

3.16

17-gm pace

54

Best / worst

13.7 / -0.2

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
11.7WR941112000
31.3WR106118000
4-0.2WR14800001-2
60.0WR100200000
70.0WR103100000
90.0WR97100000
1013.7WR202172100
110.0WR107300000
122.3WR741118000
139.8WR281133100
150.0WR104000000
1611.6WR233246100
173.5WR715320000
180.5WR106000015