TE
Kyle Pitts
ATLTE10 · overall #90 · tier 3 · age 25
Projected points
129
8.8/gm
Value over replacement
27
repl 111
Range
98–160
sd 31
Week
7.7
@ PIT
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 99
- Carries
- 0
- Receptions
- 67
- Rec yards
- 731
- Rush yards
- -0
- Rush TD
- 0.0
- Rec TD
- 3.9
- Total TD
- 3.9
- Games projected
- 14.7
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 9.4
- Games of history
- 61
- Age multiplier
- 1.050
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 33.4
- Projected plays / game
- 62.0
- Projected pass rate
- 56%
- OL run block
- +0.08
- OL pass protection
- +0.66
- OL continuity
- 82%
- 2TE rate
- 33%
- 3WR rate
- 60%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 42%
- Run friendly
- +0.36
- Scheme creativity
- -0.15
- Play action / motion
- 18% / 65%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- clear lead
- Ambiguity score
- 2
- Effective contributors
- 1.15
- Top player's share
- 93%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.14
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- avoid
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- PIT,CAR,GB
- Window matchup
- -0.46
- Opponents after
- NO,BAL,CHI
- After matchup
- -0.17
- Flip edge
- -0.29
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 11
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.75
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
17
Points
122.8
Per game
7.22
17-gm pace
123
Best / worst
34.6 / 1.4
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5.9 | 8 | 7 | 59 | 0 |
| 2 | 3.7 | 5 | 4 | 37 | 0 |
| 3 | 3.9 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 0 |
| 4 | 13.0 | 5 | 5 | 70 | 1 |
| 6 | 1.8 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 0 |
| 7 | 6.2 | 10 | 7 | 62 | 0 |
| 8 | 5.9 | 9 | 9 | 59 | 0 |
| 9 | 3.8 | 7 | 4 | 38 | 0 |
| 10 | 3.8 | 5 | 2 | 38 | 0 |
| 11 | 1.4 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 | 2.5 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 | 8.2 | 8 | 7 | 82 | 0 |
| 14 | 9.0 | 10 | 6 | 90 | 0 |
| 15 | 34.6 | 12 | 11 | 166 | 3 |
| 16 | 11.7 | 9 | 7 | 57 | 1 |
| 17 | 1.6 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 | 5.8 | 9 | 6 | 58 | 0 |