Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

TE

Kyle Pitts

ATL

TE10 · overall #90 · tier 3 · age 25

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Projected points

129

8.8/gm

Value over replacement

27

repl 111

Range

98–160

sd 31

Week

7.7

@ PIT

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
99
Carries
0
Receptions
67
Rec yards
731
Rush yards
-0
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
3.9
Total TD
3.9
Games projected
14.7
Observed pts/gm (history)
9.4
Games of history
61
Age multiplier
1.050
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.4
Projected plays / game
62.0
Projected pass rate
56%
OL run block
+0.08
OL pass protection
+0.66
OL continuity
82%
2TE rate
33%
3WR rate
60%
1st-down pass rate
42%
Run friendly
+0.36
Scheme creativity
-0.15
Play action / motion
18% / 65%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
2
Effective contributors
1.15
Top player's share
93%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.14

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
PIT,CAR,GB
Window matchup
-0.46
Opponents after
NO,BAL,CHI
After matchup
-0.17
Flip edge
-0.29
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.75

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

17

Points

210.8

Per game

12.40

17-gm pace

211

Best / worst

45.6 / 3.4

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
112.987590
27.754370
37.964390
418.055701
64.843180
713.2107620
814.999590
97.874380
105.852380
113.432140
124.552250
1315.287820
1415.0106900
1545.612111663
1618.797571
173.632160
1811.896580