Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

RB

Kyle Monangai

CHI

RB38 · overall #135 · tier 7 · age 24

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Projected points

105

7.1/gm

Value over replacement

4

repl 110

Range

70–140

sd 35

Week

6.8

@ CAR

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
30
Carries
124
Receptions
22
Rec yards
169
Rush yards
557
Rush TD
3.5
Rec TD
0.1
Total TD
3.6
Games projected
14.8
Observed pts/gm (history)
8.6
Games of history
17
Age multiplier
1.022
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.8
Projected plays / game
62.4
Projected pass rate
56%
OL run block
+1.37
OL pass protection
+1.06
OL continuity
82%
2TE rate
36%
3WR rate
64%
1st-down pass rate
45%
Run friendly
+0.60
Scheme creativity
+0.58
Play action / motion
26% / 54%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
34
Effective contributors
2.04
Top player's share
56%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.35

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
CAR,MIN,PHI
Window matchup
-0.08
Opponents after
NYJ,GB,ATL
After matchup
+0.72
Flip edge
-0.80
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
10
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.46

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

17

Points

128.7

Per game

7.57

17-gm pace

129

Best / worst

19.8 / 1.1

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
11.100011110
23.672803180
32.061601140
41.841800000
64.4519011250
715.41381132130
82.472400000
919.826176053220
108.872811000
119.71223111140
1210.8124810000
1319.02213011000
147.7145702100
153.3113302000
169.3950043430
174.783804390
184.9614011150