Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

QB

Kyle Allen

BUF

QB60 · overall #589 · tier – · age 30

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Projected points

27

3.6/gm

Value over replacement

-90

repl 250

Range

11–42

sd 16

Week

0.8

vs NE

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Pass attempts
91
Pass yards
675
Pass TD
4.0
Carries
4
Rush yards
32
Rush TD
0.1
Games projected
7.5
Observed pts/gm (history)
1.0
Games of history
11
Age multiplier
0.981
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.7
Projected plays / game
61.1
Projected pass rate
55%
OL run block
+1.32
OL pass protection
+1.30
OL continuity
78%
2TE rate
28%
3WR rate
65%
1st-down pass rate
40%
Run friendly
+0.97
Scheme creativity
+0.23
Play action / motion
21% / 57%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
24
Effective contributors
–
Top player's share
–
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.34

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
sell high
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
NE,LA,LV
Window matchup
+0.34
Opponents after
BAL,MIN
After matchup
-0.72
Flip edge
+1.06
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
7
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.44

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

2

Points

-0.3

Per game

-0.15

17-gm pace

-3

Best / worst

0.0 / -0.2

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankCmpAttPa YdsPa TDINTRu AttRu YdsRu TD
4-0.2QB37000002-20
10-0.1QB33020001-10