Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

QB

Kirk Cousins

LV

QB29 · overall #223 · tier 7 · age 37

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Projected points

173

13.9/gm

Value over replacement

-30

repl 261

Range

107–239

sd 66

Week

11.2

vs MIA

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Pass attempts
393
Pass yards
2784
Pass TD
17.5
Carries
21
Rush yards
53
Rush TD
0.7
Games projected
12.4
Observed pts/gm (history)
14.0
Games of history
49
Age multiplier
0.927
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.6
Projected plays / game
61.0
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-1.09
OL pass protection
-0.23
OL continuity
72%
2TE rate
42%
3WR rate
58%
1st-down pass rate
49%
Run friendly
+0.57
Scheme creativity
-0.06
Play action / motion
22% / 53%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach
Ambiguity score
66
Effective contributors
Top player's share
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
MIA,LAC,NO
Window matchup
-0.45
Opponents after
KC,NE,BUF
After matchup
-0.71
Flip edge
+0.27
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
13
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.36

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

10

Points

103.5

Per game

10.35

17-gm pace

176

Best / worst

26.9 / 1.2

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsCmpAttPa YdsPa TDINTRu AttRu YdsRu TD
31.2572900000
87.1213117300220
112.16144800120
1214.5162319921250
1313.4213323410000
142.5153016202000
1526.9304437330000
1617.62135197215-31
179.1132012610110
189.2183218011300