Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

RB

Kimani Vidal

LAC

RB44 · overall #134 · tier 8 · age 24

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Projected points

90

7.2/gm

Value over replacement

4

repl 110

Range

39–141

sd 51

Week

6.9

vs ARI

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
23
Carries
116
Receptions
17
Rec yards
139
Rush yards
484
Rush TD
2.2
Rec TD
0.7
Total TD
3.0
Games projected
12.5
Observed pts/gm (history)
7.8
Games of history
22
Age multiplier
1.022
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.4
Projected plays / game
61.1
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
+0.46
OL pass protection
+0.58
OL continuity
37%
2TE rate
16%
3WR rate
71%
1st-down pass rate
45%
Run friendly
-0.07
Scheme creativity
+0.88
Play action / motion
25% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
83
Effective contributors
3.10
Top player's share
43%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk4
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
ARI,LV,BUF
Window matchup
+1.19
Opponents after
SEA,DEN,KC
After matchup
-0.96
Flip edge
+2.15
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
7
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.06

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

13

Points

101.9

Per game

7.84

17-gm pace

133

Best / worst

19.8 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
40.00000000
51.941801110
619.818124043141
73.5920054150
818.723117121100
93.0123001000
1016.82595111130
111.2513022-10
1319.725126111110
1410.41444031600
154.81233011150
161.151100000
181.0312011-20