WR
Khalil Shakir
BUFWR53 · overall #125 · tier 9 · age 26
Projected points
113
7.8/gm
Value over replacement
8
repl 115
Range
69–158
sd 45
Week
6.9
@ HOU
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 77
- Carries
- 1
- Receptions
- 53
- Rec yards
- 657
- Rush yards
- 5
- Rush TD
- 0.0
- Rec TD
- 3.5
- Total TD
- 3.5
- Games projected
- 14.6
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 10.0
- Games of history
- 57
- Age multiplier
- 1.009
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 34.7
- Projected plays / game
- 61.0
- Projected pass rate
- 55%
- OL run block
- +1.34
- OL pass protection
- +1.30
- OL continuity
- 79%
- 2TE rate
- 28%
- 3WR rate
- 65%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 40%
- Run friendly
- +0.96
- Scheme creativity
- +0.22
- Play action / motion
- 21% / 57%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 75
- Effective contributors
- 4.79
- Top player's share
- 35%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- HOU,DET,LAC
- Window matchup
- +0.06
- Opponents after
- NE,LA,LV
- After matchup
- +0.56
- Flip edge
- -0.50
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 7
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.29
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
16
Points
94.4
Per game
5.90
17-gm pace
100
Best / worst
14.8 / -0.3
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6.4 | 9 | 6 | 64 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 1.2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 10.5 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 12.9 | 5 | 5 | 69 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 5.0 | 9 | 6 | 45 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | 3.3 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | 14.8 | 7 | 6 | 88 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | 4.3 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | 5.8 | 9 | 7 | 58 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | -0.3 | 3 | 1 | -3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | 9.0 | 10 | 8 | 110 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | 0.5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | 7.6 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 6.5 | 5 | 5 | 65 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 3.4 | 5 | 4 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 3.5 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 0 |