RB
Khalil Herbert
ATLRB72 · overall #248 · tier – · age 28
Projected points
51
4.6/gm
Value over replacement
-30
repl 116
Range
10–93
sd 41
Week
1.3
@ NO
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 18
- Carries
- 59
- Receptions
- 13
- Rec yards
- 80
- Rush yards
- 264
- Rush TD
- 1.5
- Rec TD
- 0.4
- Total TD
- 1.9
- Games projected
- 11.2
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 4.3
- Games of history
- 41
- Age multiplier
- 0.915
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 33.6
- Projected plays / game
- 61.7
- Projected pass rate
- 56%
- OL run block
- +0.05
- OL pass protection
- +0.17
- OL continuity
- 82%
- 2TE rate
- 29%
- 3WR rate
- 64%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 40%
- Run friendly
- +0.35
- Scheme creativity
- -0.20
- Play action / motion
- 17% / 66%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- clear lead
- Ambiguity score
- 37
- Effective contributors
- 1.87
- Top player's share
- 65%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.40
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- buy low
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- NO,BAL,CHI
- Window matchup
- -0.24
- Opponents after
- SF,TB,CIN
- After matchup
- +0.13
- Flip edge
- -0.37
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 11
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.38
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
5
Points
5.6
Per game
1.12
17-gm pace
19
Best / worst
4.6 / 0.0
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.0 | RB70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | 0.0 | RB71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 0.5 | RB69 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 0.5 | RB67 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | 4.6 | RB38 | 12 | 42 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |