Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Kevin Austin Jr.

NO

WR103 · overall #242 · tier – · age 26

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Projected points

53

4.8/gm

Value over replacement

-29

repl 119

Range

27–78

sd 25

Week

2.6

vs ATL

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
42
Carries
1
Receptions
25
Rec yards
304
Rush yards
6
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
1.4
Total TD
1.4
Games projected
10.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
5.2
Games of history
13
Age multiplier
1.009
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
31.6
Projected plays / game
62.8
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-0.21
OL pass protection
+0.11
OL continuity
76%
2TE rate
25%
3WR rate
69%
1st-down pass rate
47%
Run friendly
-0.26
Scheme creativity
-0.29
Play action / motion
19% / 59%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
3.72
Top player's share
45%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
ATL,MIN,NYG
Window matchup
+0.02
Opponents after
PIT,CLE
After matchup
+0.48
Flip edge
-0.45
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
8
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.25

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

5

Points

33.0

Per game

6.60

17-gm pace

112

Best / worst

15.2 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
30.0WR120100000
156.3WR585333000
163.8WR833218000
1715.2WR155452100
187.7WR399437000