WR
Keon Coleman
BUFWR58 · overall #123 · tier 10 · age 23
Projected points
104
7.9/gm
Value over replacement
9
repl 115
Range
65–144
sd 40
Week
6.4
@ HOU
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 69
- Carries
- 4
- Receptions
- 42
- Rec yards
- 564
- Rush yards
- 26
- Rush TD
- 0.0
- Rec TD
- 4.3
- Total TD
- 4.3
- Games projected
- 13.3
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 8.4
- Games of history
- 25
- Age multiplier
- 1.052
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 34.7
- Projected plays / game
- 61.0
- Projected pass rate
- 55%
- OL run block
- +1.34
- OL pass protection
- +1.30
- OL continuity
- 79%
- 2TE rate
- 28%
- 3WR rate
- 65%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 40%
- Run friendly
- +0.96
- Scheme creativity
- +0.22
- Play action / motion
- 21% / 57%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 75
- Effective contributors
- 4.79
- Top player's share
- 35%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- HOU,DET,LAC
- Window matchup
- +0.06
- Opponents after
- NE,LA,LV
- After matchup
- +0.56
- Flip edge
- -0.50
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 7
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.29
2025 game log
full season · Full PPR
Games
12
Points
102.4
Per game
8.53
17-gm pace
145
Best / worst
25.2 / 3.6
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25.2 | 11 | 8 | 112 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 5.6 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 5.0 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 7.5 | 4 | 3 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 10.3 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 4.1 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | 6.0 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | 3.7 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | 13.6 | 8 | 3 | 46 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | 8.9 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | 3.6 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | 8.9 | 4 | 2 | 49 | 0 | 0 | 0 |