Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

RB

Kenny Gainwell

TB

RB33 · overall #106 · tier 7 · age 27

← back to rankings

Projected points

121

8.0/gm

Value over replacement

17

repl 110

Range

61–181

sd 60

Week

8.1

@ CIN

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
48
Carries
104
Receptions
39
Rec yards
274
Rush yards
464
Rush TD
3.4
Rec TD
0.9
Total TD
4.3
Games projected
15.2
Observed pts/gm (history)
9.1
Games of history
67
Age multiplier
0.934
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.6
Projected plays / game
62.1
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
+0.88
OL pass protection
+1.32
OL continuity
82%
2TE rate
22%
3WR rate
72%
1st-down pass rate
44%
Run friendly
+0.57
Scheme creativity
-0.09
Play action / motion
17% / 58%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
62
Effective contributors
2.89
Top player's share
43%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.77

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
CIN,CLE,MIN
Window matchup
+0.01
Opponents after
GB,DAL,PIT
After matchup
+0.20
Flip edge
-0.20
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
10
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.28

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

17

Points

221.3

Per game

13.02

17-gm pace

221

Best / worst

31.4 / 2.4

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
15.371904340
26.6520053160
39.6416111100
431.41999266350
69.6622066140
73.531402210
83.553102240
97.43-1054350
102.40003240
1129.5924087812
1218.21092066300
136.5520032250
1416.2415176270
1519.61380077460
1623.8950075781
176.8726043120
1821.4510198640