Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Kenny Gainwell

TB

RB38 · overall #103 · tier 7 · age 27

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Projected points

125

8.2/gm

Value over replacement

15

repl 116

Range

65–185

sd 60

Week

4.2

vs GB

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
49
Carries
108
Receptions
40
Rec yards
281
Rush yards
480
Rush TD
3.4
Rec TD
0.9
Total TD
4.3
Games projected
15.2
Observed pts/gm (history)
9.1
Games of history
67
Age multiplier
0.934
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.6
Projected plays / game
62.1
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
+0.87
OL pass protection
+1.31
OL continuity
80%
2TE rate
22%
3WR rate
72%
1st-down pass rate
44%
Run friendly
+0.51
Scheme creativity
-0.17
Play action / motion
17% / 58%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
62
Effective contributors
2.89
Top player's share
43%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.77

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
GB,DAL,PIT
Window matchup
-0.05
Opponents after
CAR,ATL,CHI
After matchup
+0.32
Flip edge
-0.37
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
10
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.37

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

17

Points

221.3

Per game

13.02

17-gm pace

221

Best / worst

31.4 / 2.4

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
15.3RB4071904340
26.6RB39520053160
39.6RB28416111100
431.4RB31999266350
69.6RB18622066140
73.5RB4831402210
83.5RB4753102240
97.4RB303-1054350
102.4RB520003240
1129.5RB5924087812
1218.2RB91092066300
136.5RB43520032250
1416.2RB12415176270
1519.6RB91380077460
1623.8RB8950075781
176.8RB33726043120
1821.4RB4510198640