RB
Kenneth Walker III
KCRB13 · overall #20 · tier 4 · age 25
Projected points
198
13.7/gm
Value over replacement
99
repl 110
Range
147–250
sd 52
Week
12.3
vs DEN
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 47
- Carries
- 250
- Receptions
- 39
- Rec yards
- 290
- Rush yards
- 1060
- Rush TD
- 6.2
- Rec TD
- 0.5
- Total TD
- 6.7
- Games projected
- 14.5
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 12.7
- Games of history
- 58
- Age multiplier
- 1.000
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 32.7
- Projected plays / game
- 63.3
- Projected pass rate
- 59%
- OL run block
- +0.25
- OL pass protection
- +0.05
- OL continuity
- 87%
- 2TE rate
- 41%
- 3WR rate
- 56%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 54%
- Run friendly
- -1.61
- Scheme creativity
- +0.01
- Play action / motion
- 17% / 55%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 50
- Effective contributors
- 2.66
- Top player's share
- 49%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.56
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- buy now, flip wk4
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- DEN,IND,MIA
- Window matchup
- +0.77
- Opponents after
- LV,LAC
- After matchup
- +0.12
- Flip edge
- +0.65
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 5
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.00
2025 game log
full season · Half PPR
Games
17
Points
176.4
Per game
10.38
17-gm pace
176
Best / worst
23.9 / 2.4
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3.9 | 10 | 20 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| 2 | 18.3 | 13 | 105 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 0 |
| 3 | 17.5 | 16 | 38 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 0 |
| 4 | 11.5 | 19 | 81 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 0 |
| 5 | 9.1 | 10 | 86 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 4.2 | 10 | 34 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 7 | 6.6 | 17 | 66 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | 7.1 | 11 | 42 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 | 7.5 | 14 | 67 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 | 18.6 | 16 | 67 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 44 | 0 |
| 12 | 11.6 | 11 | 71 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 | 8.9 | 13 | 56 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 | 3.3 | 10 | 29 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | 2.4 | 9 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | 23.9 | 11 | 100 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 64 | 0 |
| 17 | 6.7 | 15 | 51 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 | 15.3 | 16 | 97 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 36 | 0 |