Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

TE

Keleki Latu

BUF

TE82 · overall #432 · tier – · age 24

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Projected points

18

1.6/gm

Value over replacement

-59

repl 112

Range

2–33

sd 15

Week

0.6

vs NE

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
13
Carries
0
Receptions
10
Rec yards
98
Rush yards
0
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
0.5
Total TD
0.5
Games projected
10.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
2.5
Games of history
3
Age multiplier
1.060
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.7
Projected plays / game
61.1
Projected pass rate
55%
OL run block
+1.32
OL pass protection
+1.30
OL continuity
78%
2TE rate
28%
3WR rate
65%
1st-down pass rate
40%
Run friendly
+0.97
Scheme creativity
+0.23
Play action / motion
21% / 57%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
53
Effective contributors
2.83
Top player's share
40%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.62

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
sell high
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
NE,LA,LV
Window matchup
+0.28
Opponents after
BAL,MIN
After matchup
-0.68
Flip edge
+0.96
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
7
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.48

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

3

Points

3.5

Per game

1.17

17-gm pace

20

Best / worst

3.1 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
110.4TE491140
170.0TE590000
183.1TE2533310