Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Keenan Allen

IND

WR81 · overall #192 · tier 9 · age 34

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Projected points

93

6.7/gm

Value over replacement

-10

repl 119

Range

14–172

sd 79

Week

7.5

@ WAS

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
69
Carries
0
Receptions
45
Rec yards
529
Rush yards
1
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
3.3
Total TD
3.3
Games projected
13.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
12.7
Games of history
55
Age multiplier
0.719
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.7
Projected plays / game
61.8
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
+0.69
OL pass protection
+0.76
OL continuity
81%
2TE rate
35%
3WR rate
65%
1st-down pass rate
48%
Run friendly
+0.12
Scheme creativity
+0.53
Play action / motion
31% / 50%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
3.54
Top player's share
36%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
WAS,PIT,TEN
Window matchup
+0.69
Opponents after
MIN,JAX,DAL
After matchup
+0.26
Flip edge
+0.43
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
13
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.35

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

17

Points

182.7

Per game

10.75

17-gm pace

183

Best / worst

28.9 / 2.7

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
119.8WR1010768100
217.1WR187561100
319.5WR1211765100
48.7WR437537000
510.8WR409558000
66.7WR487427000
728.9WR31411119100
88.4WR485444000
96.1WR565241000
103.9WR625219000
119.3WR376453000
137.0WR485430000
145.2WR553322000
158.6WR447536000
169.4WR385544000
172.7WR893117000
1810.6WR2413736000