Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

WR

Kayshon Boutte

NE

WR79 · overall #170 · tier 10 · age 24

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Projected points

80

6.3/gm

Value over replacement

-11

repl 115

Range

30–129

sd 50

Week

4.5

@ SEA

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
51
Carries
2
Receptions
32
Rec yards
424
Rush yards
11
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
3.7
Total TD
3.7
Games projected
12.6
Observed pts/gm (history)
8.4
Games of history
32
Age multiplier
1.044
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.3
Projected plays / game
59.9
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-0.47
OL pass protection
-0.48
OL continuity
73%
2TE rate
31%
3WR rate
57%
1st-down pass rate
43%
Run friendly
+0.10
Scheme creativity
-0.59
Play action / motion
21% / 48%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
4.15
Top player's share
36%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
SEA,PIT,JAX
Window matchup
-0.34
Opponents after
BUF,LV,NYJ
After matchup
+0.22
Flip edge
-0.56
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.58

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

14

Points

124.1

Per game

8.86

17-gm pace

151

Best / worst

26.3 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
116.386103000
28.61116100
34.83228000
42.83118000
57.33343000
626.35593200
713.52255100
816.55375100
90.0100000
123.52215000
1313.55435100
154.01130000
162.63116000
184.44224000