Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

KaVontae Turpin

DAL

WR189 · overall #444 · tier – · age 30

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Projected points

50

3.3/gm

Value over replacement

-61

repl 119

Range

16–84

sd 34

Week

3.1

@ HOU

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
30
Carries
9
Receptions
19
Rec yards
246
Rush yards
54
Rush TD
0.1
Rec TD
1.6
Total TD
1.8
Games projected
14.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
5.1
Games of history
65
Age multiplier
0.845
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
31.0
Projected plays / game
64.1
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
+0.24
OL pass protection
+0.09
OL continuity
86%
2TE rate
20%
3WR rate
72%
1st-down pass rate
49%
Run friendly
-0.93
Scheme creativity
-0.33
Play action / motion
22% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
3.92
Top player's share
35%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
HOU,TB,GB
Window matchup
-0.24
Opponents after
PHI,ARI,IND
After matchup
+0.19
Flip edge
-0.44
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
14
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.35

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

15

Points

84.5

Per game

5.63

17-gm pace

96

Best / worst

15.6 / 0.7

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
14.7WR692218029
215.3WR254447126
38.8WR423264014
46.4WR574330014
72.7WR831117000
80.8WR9451-2000
93.3WR703210013
111.0WR102210000
124.2WR632148024
138.1WR4322280333
145.0WR582226014
153.2WR832210012
164.7WR7642140213
1715.6WR141186100
180.7WR105100017