QB
Justin Fields
KCQB34 · overall #549 · tier 8 · age 27
Projected points
120
10.0/gm
Value over replacement
-76
repl 261
Range
57–184
sd 64
Week
7.5
vs DEN
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Pass attempts
- 241
- Pass yards
- 1684
- Pass TD
- 10.4
- Carries
- 29
- Rush yards
- 160
- Rush TD
- 1.4
- Games projected
- 12.0
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 16.2
- Games of history
- 47
- Age multiplier
- 1.025
- Usage carryover
- 0.89
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 32.7
- Projected plays / game
- 63.3
- Projected pass rate
- 59%
- OL run block
- +0.25
- OL pass protection
- +0.05
- OL continuity
- 87%
- 2TE rate
- 41%
- 3WR rate
- 56%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 54%
- Run friendly
- -1.61
- Scheme creativity
- +0.01
- Play action / motion
- 17% / 55%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- settled
- Ambiguity score
- 24
- Effective contributors
- –
- Top player's share
- –
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.34
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- buy now, flip wk4
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- DEN,IND,MIA
- Window matchup
- +0.82
- Opponents after
- LV,LAC
- After matchup
- -0.18
- Flip edge
- +1.00
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 5
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.22
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
9
Points
142.7
Per game
15.85
17-gm pace
269
Best / worst
29.5 / 4.0
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Cmp | Att | Pa Yds | Pa TD | INT | Ru Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29.5 | 16 | 22 | 218 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 48 | 2 |
| 2 | 4.0 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 49 | 0 |
| 4 | 27.1 | 20 | 27 | 226 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 81 | 1 |
| 5 | 25.9 | 32 | 46 | 283 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 26 | 0 |
| 6 | 4.9 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 0 |
| 7 | 4.0 | 6 | 12 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 0 |
| 8 | 20.9 | 21 | 32 | 244 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 | 7.0 | 6 | 11 | 54 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 | 19.3 | 15 | 26 | 116 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 67 | 1 |