RB
Justice Hill
BALRB48 · overall #157 · tier 8 · age 28
Projected points
84
6.4/gm
Value over replacement
-6
repl 110
Range
45–124
sd 39
Week
5.8
@ IND
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 35
- Carries
- 64
- Receptions
- 28
- Rec yards
- 215
- Rush yards
- 292
- Rush TD
- 2.3
- Rec TD
- 1.1
- Total TD
- 3.4
- Games projected
- 13.2
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 6.9
- Games of history
- 56
- Age multiplier
- 0.915
- Usage carryover
- 0.90
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 33.9
- Projected plays / game
- 60.0
- Projected pass rate
- 53%
- OL run block
- +0.40
- OL pass protection
- -0.27
- OL continuity
- 58%
- 2TE rate
- 45%
- 3WR rate
- 34%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 46%
- Run friendly
- +0.68
- Scheme creativity
- +0.62
- Play action / motion
- 23% / 53%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- new head coach, clear lead
- Ambiguity score
- 55
- Effective contributors
- 1.57
- Top player's share
- 78%
- New play-caller
- yes
- Variance multiplier
- 1.64
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- buy now, flip wk4
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- IND,NO,DAL
- Window matchup
- +1.11
- Opponents after
- TEN,ATL,CLE
- After matchup
- +0.17
- Flip edge
- +0.94
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 13
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.28
2025 game log
full season · Full PPR
Games
10
Points
65.2
Per game
6.52
17-gm pace
111
Best / worst
28.7 / -0.1
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | -0.1 | 2 | -14 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 2 | 5.5 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 0 |
| 3 | 7.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 45 | 0 |
| 4 | 28.7 | 3 | 76 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 41 | 1 |
| 5 | 2.2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
| 6 | 9.4 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 0 |
| 8 | 0.2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | 3.5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 | 8.3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |