Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

TE

Josh Oliver

MIN

TE60 · overall #343 · tier – · age 29

← back to rankings

Projected points

28

2.7/gm

Value over replacement

-46

repl 112

Range

0–57

sd 28

Week

2.2

vs MIA

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
17
Carries
0
Receptions
12
Rec yards
126
Rush yards
1
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
1.6
Total TD
1.6
Games projected
10.6
Observed pts/gm (history)
4.5
Games of history
49
Age multiplier
0.933
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.1
Projected plays / game
61.1
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-0.05
OL pass protection
+0.10
OL continuity
76%
2TE rate
27%
3WR rate
63%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
-0.76
Scheme creativity
+0.22
Play action / motion
26% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
13
Effective contributors
1.86
Top player's share
70%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.29

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
MIA,NO
Window matchup
+0.64
Opponents after
IND,DET,BUF
After matchup
+0.24
Flip edge
+0.40
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
6
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.87

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

12

Points

40.0

Per game

3.33

17-gm pace

57

Best / worst

14.4 / -0.3

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
10.5TE491150
37.2TE1011121
40.0TE541000
59.5TE1132351
70.9TE411190
11-0.3TE6911-30
120.4TE521140
1414.4TE322242
151.8TE3711180
161.9TE3832190
170.8TE482180
182.9TE3022290