WR
Josh Downs
INDWR49 · overall #118 · tier 9 · age 25
Projected points
114
8.0/gm
Value over replacement
11
repl 115
Range
72–156
sd 42
Week
7.1
vs BAL
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 85
- Carries
- 1
- Receptions
- 55
- Rec yards
- 657
- Rush yards
- 4
- Rush TD
- 0.0
- Rec TD
- 3.4
- Total TD
- 3.4
- Games projected
- 14.3
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 9.9
- Games of history
- 47
- Age multiplier
- 1.026
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 32.7
- Projected plays / game
- 61.9
- Projected pass rate
- 57%
- OL run block
- +0.78
- OL pass protection
- +0.85
- OL continuity
- 81%
- 2TE rate
- 35%
- 3WR rate
- 65%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 48%
- Run friendly
- +0.12
- Scheme creativity
- +0.53
- Play action / motion
- 31% / 50%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 75
- Effective contributors
- 3.54
- Top player's share
- 36%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- avoid
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- BAL,KC,HOU
- Window matchup
- -0.71
- Opponents after
- WAS,PIT,TEN
- After matchup
- +0.76
- Flip edge
- -1.46
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 13
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.34
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
16
Points
80.4
Per game
5.02
17-gm pace
85
Best / worst
11.7 / 0.3
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 5.1 | 8 | 6 | 51 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 3.4 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 2.4 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 5.4 | 8 | 6 | 54 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 10.2 | 7 | 6 | 42 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | 9.9 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | 11.7 | 9 | 6 | 57 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | 0.3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | 1.0 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | 4.4 | 6 | 2 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | 2.3 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 7.3 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 6.8 | 9 | 5 | 65 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 17 | 3.4 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | 5.6 | 4 | 4 | 61 | 0 | 1 | -5 |