Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

RB

Jordan Mason

MIN

RB50 · overall #174 · tier 8 · age 27

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Projected points

81

6.0/gm

Value over replacement

-12

repl 110

Range

43–120

sd 39

Week

5.1

vs GB

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
16
Carries
104
Receptions
13
Rec yards
85
Rush yards
479
Rush TD
3.2
Rec TD
0.0
Total TD
3.2
Games projected
13.6
Observed pts/gm (history)
7.4
Games of history
56
Age multiplier
0.934
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.1
Projected plays / game
61.1
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-0.03
OL pass protection
+0.12
OL continuity
79%
2TE rate
27%
3WR rate
63%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
-0.77
Scheme creativity
+0.21
Play action / motion
26% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
51
Effective contributors
2.70
Top player's share
46%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.58

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
GB,CHI,TB
Window matchup
-0.34
Opponents after
MIA,NO
After matchup
+0.52
Flip edge
-0.86
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
6
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.69

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

16

Points

128.9

Per game

8.06

17-gm pace

137

Best / worst

23.6 / 1.6

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
18.5156801170
25.893003280
323.61611620000
410.21657033150
512.6135214340
711.7155710000
81.64301130
94.7103601110
104.142501160
1110.564510000
124.284200000
135.864701110
1411.2115210000
152.9102900000
162.12501160
189.4149400000