WR
John Metchie III
CARWR126 · overall #291 · tier – · age 26
Projected points
67
4.7/gm
Value over replacement
-38
repl 119
Range
26–109
sd 41
Week
4.6
vs DET
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 55
- Carries
- 3
- Receptions
- 34
- Rec yards
- 370
- Rush yards
- 7
- Rush TD
- 0.0
- Rec TD
- 1.7
- Total TD
- 1.7
- Games projected
- 14.2
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 5.0
- Games of history
- 37
- Age multiplier
- 1.009
- Usage carryover
- 0.89
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 34.7
- Projected plays / game
- 60.0
- Projected pass rate
- 57%
- OL run block
- +0.33
- OL pass protection
- +0.21
- OL continuity
- 71%
- 2TE rate
- 25%
- 3WR rate
- 73%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 40%
- Run friendly
- +0.68
- Scheme creativity
- -0.67
- Play action / motion
- 21% / 40%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 75
- Effective contributors
- 3.79
- Top player's share
- 42%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- avoid
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- DET,PHI
- Window matchup
- -0.41
- Opponents after
- TB,GB,DEN
- After matchup
- -0.48
- Flip edge
- +0.08
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 5
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.55
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
13
Points
38.9
Per game
2.99
17-gm pace
51
Best / worst
12.5 / -0.4
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.0 | WR115 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 0.0 | WR119 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 0.8 | WR100 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 1.0 | WR97 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | -0.4 | WR128 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | -7 |
| 11 | 10.5 | WR16 | 3 | 3 | 45 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | 12.5 | WR12 | 7 | 6 | 65 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | 1.7 | WR79 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 0 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 | 3.4 | WR46 | 8 | 4 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 2.9 | WR68 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 16 | 0.4 | WR112 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 4.1 | WR44 | 3 | 3 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | 2.0 | WR68 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 |