Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

QB

Joe Flacco

CIN

QB53 · overall #570 · tier – · age 41

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Projected points

80

7.6/gm

Value over replacement

-84

repl 250

Range

36–124

sd 44

Week

2.2

vs JAX

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Pass attempts
212
Pass yards
1373
Pass TD
9.1
Carries
13
Rush yards
49
Rush TD
0.4
Games projected
10.5
Observed pts/gm (history)
12.5
Games of history
30
Age multiplier
0.897
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.7
Projected plays / game
60.8
Projected pass rate
60%
OL run block
-0.73
OL pass protection
-1.39
OL continuity
98%
2TE rate
40%
3WR rate
58%
1st-down pass rate
54%
Run friendly
-1.75
Scheme creativity
-0.67
Play action / motion
17% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
24
Effective contributors
–
Top player's share
–
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.34

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
sell high
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
JAX,MIA
Window matchup
+0.38
Opponents after
BAL,TEN,ATL
After matchup
-0.23
Flip edge
+0.61
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
6
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.58

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

13

Points

146.7

Per game

11.28

17-gm pace

192

Best / worst

30.7 / 0.2

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankCmpAttPa YdsPa TDINTRu AttRu YdsRu TD
112.2QB20314529012260
28.8QB28254519911180
33.7QB32213614201000
41.3QB341634184023-10
618.8QB13294521920000
726.0QB6314734230530
824.3QB52134223202141
930.7QB23147470421-10
119.9QB222340199111-10
129.6QB19193718311130
160.2QB3611400000
171.2QB33352400420
180.2QB3900000120