Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

WR

Jerry Jeudy

CLE

WR66 · overall #179 · tier 10 · age 27

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Projected points

93

6.2/gm

Value over replacement

-15

repl 115

Range

18–169

sd 76

Week

5.1

@ JAX

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
76
Carries
1
Receptions
45
Rec yards
556
Rush yards
3
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
2.7
Total TD
2.7
Games projected
15.1
Observed pts/gm (history)
9.5
Games of history
65
Age multiplier
0.939
Usage carryover
0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.4
Projected plays / game
60.9
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-1.24
OL pass protection
-1.83
OL continuity
28%
2TE rate
37%
3WR rate
63%
1st-down pass rate
44%
Run friendly
+1.14
Scheme creativity
-0.09
Play action / motion
23% / 44%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score
98
Effective contributors
3.52
Top player's share
46%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
2.55

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
JAX,TB,CAR
Window matchup
-0.98
Opponents after
PIT,NYJ,BAL
After matchup
-0.12
Flip edge
-0.86
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.14

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

17

Points

70.7

Per game

4.16

17-gm pace

71

Best / worst

13.8 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
16.68566000
25.18451000
31.75117000
44.89348000
51.55215000
64.313543000
71.74217000
80.0200000
1013.812678100
112.17321000
121.93139000
132.64326000
1413.65376100
152.24222000
161.24312000
175.47554000
182.26217015