Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Jerry Jeudy

CLE

WR49 · overall #112 · tier 9 · age 27

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Projected points

124

8.2/gm

Value over replacement

12

repl 119

Range

41–207

sd 83

Week

3.6

vs PIT

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
99
Carries
4
Receptions
58
Rec yards
725
Rush yards
26
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
3.4
Total TD
3.4
Games projected
15.1
Observed pts/gm (history)
9.5
Games of history
65
Age multiplier
0.939
Usage carryover
0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.4
Projected plays / game
61.0
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-1.18
OL pass protection
-1.79
OL continuity
28%
2TE rate
37%
3WR rate
63%
1st-down pass rate
44%
Run friendly
+1.14
Scheme creativity
-0.09
Play action / motion
23% / 44%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score
98
Effective contributors
3.52
Top player's share
46%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
2.55

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy low
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
PIT,NYJ,BAL
Window matchup
-0.25
Opponents after
TEN,PIT,NO
After matchup
-0.30
Flip edge
+0.05
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.27

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

17

Points

70.7

Per game

4.16

17-gm pace

71

Best / worst

13.8 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
16.6WR348566000
25.1WR578451000
31.7WR835117000
44.8WR459348000
51.5WR795215000
64.3WR4613543000
71.7WR704217000
80.0WR93200000
1013.8WR1412678100
112.1WR657321000
121.9WR693139000
132.6WR624326000
1413.6WR95376100
152.2WR774222000
161.2WR954312000
175.4WR397554000
182.2WR646217015