WR
Jaylin Noel
HOUWR211 · overall #482 · tier – · age 24
Projected points
45
3.0/gm
Value over replacement
-66
repl 119
Range
8–83
sd 38
Week
4.6
vs DAL
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 31
- Carries
- 6
- Receptions
- 20
- Rec yards
- 236
- Rush yards
- 22
- Rush TD
- 0.0
- Rec TD
- 1.6
- Total TD
- 1.6
- Games projected
- 15.0
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 4.0
- Games of history
- 17
- Age multiplier
- 1.044
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 32.9
- Projected plays / game
- 61.9
- Projected pass rate
- 57%
- OL run block
- -1.37
- OL pass protection
- -1.19
- OL continuity
- 64%
- 2TE rate
- 20%
- 3WR rate
- 76%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 46%
- Run friendly
- -0.36
- Scheme creativity
- -0.30
- Play action / motion
- 23% / 53%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 75
- Effective contributors
- 4.55
- Top player's share
- 35%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- buy now, flip wk7
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- DAL,TEN,JAX
- Window matchup
- +0.44
- Opponents after
- NYG,LAC
- After matchup
- -0.52
- Flip edge
- +0.96
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 8
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.86
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
17
Points
42.4
Per game
2.49
17-gm pace
42
Best / worst
11.6 / -0.3
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.7 | WR103 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 0.0 | WR119 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 0.4 | WR115 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 0.0 | WR110 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 5 | 7.8 | WR33 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | 7.7 | WR26 | 7 | 4 | 77 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | 6.3 | WR39 | 6 | 5 | 63 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | -0.3 | WR129 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 |
| 10 | 3.5 | WR49 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | 1.2 | WR85 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | 0.9 | WR82 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 13 | 0.0 | WR108 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | 1.3 | WR78 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | 0.0 | WR104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 0.0 | WR118 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 11.6 | WR12 | 4 | 3 | 54 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 18 | 1.3 | WR77 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 |