Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Jaylin Lane

WAS

WR206 · overall #471 · tier – · age 24

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Projected points

42

2.9/gm

Value over replacement

-65

repl 119

Range

21–63

sd 21

Week

1.9

vs IND

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
35
Carries
2
Receptions
20
Rec yards
253
Rush yards
11
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
0.9
Total TD
0.9
Games projected
14.3
Observed pts/gm (history)
3.5
Games of history
15
Age multiplier
1.044
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.8
Projected plays / game
60.9
Projected pass rate
56%
OL run block
-0.49
OL pass protection
-0.84
OL continuity
84%
2TE rate
31%
3WR rate
67%
1st-down pass rate
45%
Run friendly
-0.19
Scheme creativity
-0.16
Play action / motion
20% / 50%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
4.70
Top player's share
36%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy low
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
IND,NYG,SF
Window matchup
-0.05
Opponents after
PHI,LA
After matchup
-0.59
Flip edge
+0.54
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
7
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.41

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

15

Points

43.2

Per game

2.88

17-gm pace

49

Best / worst

7.5 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
11.6WR952111000
20.7WR118412000
36.3WR4521-2000
42.8WR813218000
52.1WR832116000
64.9WR492137017
77.5WR356360000
80.5WR92210000
94.4WR595329000
104.6WR531141000
111.8WR821113000
130.0WR108100000
140.0WR102000000
156.0WR51100000
160.0WR119000000