RB
Jaylen Wright
MIARB59 · overall #186 · tier 9 · age 23
Projected points
69
5.4/gm
Value over replacement
-19
repl 110
Range
38–100
sd 31
Week
4.0
@ LV
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 17
- Carries
- 109
- Receptions
- 12
- Rec yards
- 83
- Rush yards
- 415
- Rush TD
- 2.0
- Rec TD
- 0.1
- Total TD
- 2.1
- Games projected
- 12.8
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 4.0
- Games of history
- 22
- Age multiplier
- 1.045
- Usage carryover
- 0.90
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 35.6
- Projected plays / game
- 60.0
- Projected pass rate
- 57%
- OL run block
- -1.25
- OL pass protection
- -0.63
- OL continuity
- 72%
- 2TE rate
- 25%
- 3WR rate
- 46%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 42%
- Run friendly
- -0.07
- Scheme creativity
- +1.42
- Play action / motion
- 26% / 73%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- new head coach, clear lead
- Ambiguity score
- 87
- Effective contributors
- 2.15
- Top player's share
- 63%
- New play-caller
- yes
- Variance multiplier
- 1.92
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- avoid
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- LV,SF,KC
- Window matchup
- -1.01
- Opponents after
- MIN,CIN
- After matchup
- -0.65
- Flip edge
- -0.36
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 6
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.51
2025 game log
full season · Full PPR
Games
9
Points
48.2
Per game
5.36
17-gm pace
91
Best / worst
16.7 / 0.4
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 3.8 | 9 | 28 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | 1.7 | 5 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | 0.4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | 1.6 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | 16.7 | 24 | 107 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 2.1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 | 12.3 | 9 | 35 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 | 5.6 | 5 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | 4.0 | 13 | 23 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 0 |