WR
Jaylen Waddle
DENWR16 · overall #51 · tier 5 · age 27
Projected points
160
11.2/gm
Value over replacement
57
repl 115
Range
91–228
sd 68
Week
8.6
@ KC
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 103
- Carries
- 2
- Receptions
- 66
- Rec yards
- 967
- Rush yards
- 14
- Rush TD
- 0.0
- Rec TD
- 5.2
- Total TD
- 5.2
- Games projected
- 14.3
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 12.1
- Games of history
- 62
- Age multiplier
- 0.939
- Usage carryover
- 0.89
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 33.2
- Projected plays / game
- 62.2
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- +1.24
- OL pass protection
- +1.55
- OL continuity
- 98%
- 2TE rate
- 23%
- 3WR rate
- 72%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 49%
- Run friendly
- -0.38
- Scheme creativity
- +0.14
- Play action / motion
- 25% / 43%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 75
- Effective contributors
- 3.92
- Top player's share
- 35%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- avoid
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- KC,JAX,LA
- Window matchup
- -0.50
- Opponents after
- SF,LAC,SEA
- After matchup
- -0.43
- Flip edge
- -0.07
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 10
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.50
2025 game log
full season · Full PPR
Games
16
Points
194.1
Per game
12.13
17-gm pace
206
Best / worst
23.0 / 0.7
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7.0 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 17.8 | 6 | 5 | 68 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 14.9 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 7.8 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 23.0 | 9 | 6 | 110 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 15.8 | 8 | 6 | 95 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | 2.5 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | 20.9 | 6 | 5 | 99 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | 14.2 | 9 | 6 | 82 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | 19.4 | 7 | 5 | 84 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | 8.2 | 7 | 3 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | 7.0 | 6 | 3 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | 18.1 | 7 | 5 | 50 | 1 | 1 | 21 |
| 15 | 4.6 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 12.2 | 9 | 5 | 72 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 0.7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 |