Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

RB

Jaydon Blue

DAL

RB60 · overall #154 · tier 9 · age 22

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Projected points

68

6.4/gm

Value over replacement

-5

repl 110

Range

46–91

sd 22

Week

4.8

@ NYG

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
15
Carries
100
Receptions
12
Rec yards
78
Rush yards
404
Rush TD
2.0
Rec TD
0.1
Total TD
2.1
Games projected
10.7
Observed pts/gm (history)
4.1
Games of history
5
Age multiplier
1.067
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
31.0
Projected plays / game
64.0
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
+0.16
OL pass protection
+0.01
OL continuity
92%
2TE rate
20%
3WR rate
72%
1st-down pass rate
49%
Run friendly
-0.93
Scheme creativity
-0.34
Play action / motion
22% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
36
Effective contributors
2.15
Top player's share
66%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.39

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk4
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
NYG,WAS,BAL
Window matchup
+1.03
Opponents after
HOU,TB,GB
After matchup
-0.06
Flip edge
+1.09
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
14
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.35

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

5

Points

19.4

Per game

3.88

17-gm pace

66

Best / worst

12.4 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
50.74700000
60.03000000
73.472901150
82.982900000
1812.4166410000