QB
Jayden Daniels
WASQB11 · overall #86 · tier 3 · age 25
Projected points
165
18.1/gm
Value over replacement
23
repl 250
Range
121–209
sd 44
Week
7.0
vs IND
The take
written by hand
9.6 rushing attempts a game is the whole case, and rushing is most of the scoring edge at the position. 12.6 games is the only reason he isn't my QB1.
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Pass attempts
- 276
- Pass yards
- 1910
- Pass TD
- 12.8
- Carries
- 74
- Rush yards
- 336
- Rush TD
- 2.6
- Games projected
- 9.1
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 19.5
- Games of history
- 24
- Age multiplier
- 1.038
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 33.8
- Projected plays / game
- 60.9
- Projected pass rate
- 56%
- OL run block
- -0.49
- OL pass protection
- -0.84
- OL continuity
- 84%
- 2TE rate
- 31%
- 3WR rate
- 67%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 45%
- Run friendly
- -0.19
- Scheme creativity
- -0.16
- Play action / motion
- 20% / 50%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- settled
- Ambiguity score
- 24
- Effective contributors
- –
- Top player's share
- –
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.34
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- buy low
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- IND,NYG,SF
- Window matchup
- -0.06
- Opponents after
- PHI,LA
- After matchup
- -0.61
- Flip edge
- +0.56
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 7
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.67
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
7
Points
114.3
Per game
16.33
17-gm pace
278
Best / worst
21.6 / 2.7
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Cmp | Att | Pa Yds | Pa TD | INT | Ru Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20.1 | QB13 | 19 | 30 | 233 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 68 | 0 |
| 2 | 19.7 | QB14 | 24 | 42 | 200 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 0 |
| 5 | 17.1 | QB16 | 15 | 26 | 231 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 39 | 0 |
| 6 | 21.6 | QB6 | 19 | 26 | 211 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 52 | 0 |
| 7 | 17.7 | QB13 | 12 | 22 | 156 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 35 | 1 |
| 9 | 15.2 | QB19 | 16 | 22 | 153 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 51 | 1 |
| 14 | 2.7 | QB26 | 9 | 20 | 78 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 0 |