Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

QB

Jaxson Dart

NYG

QB11 · overall #92 · tier 4 · age 23

← back to rankings

Projected points

256

18.2/gm

Value over replacement

26

repl 261

Range

188–324

sd 68

Week

17.5

vs DAL

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Pass attempts
446
Pass yards
3142
Pass TD
20.0
Carries
85
Rush yards
373
Rush TD
5.3
Games projected
14.1
Observed pts/gm (history)
17.2
Games of history
14
Age multiplier
1.038
Usage carryover
0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
31.8
Projected plays / game
62.5
Projected pass rate
56%
OL run block
+0.42
OL pass protection
-0.21
OL continuity
75%
2TE rate
31%
3WR rate
68%
1st-down pass rate
48%
Run friendly
-0.80
Scheme creativity
+0.10
Play action / motion
22% / 40%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach
Ambiguity score
66
Effective contributors
Top player's share
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
DAL,LA,TEN
Window matchup
+0.48
Opponents after
ARI,WAS,NO
After matchup
+1.14
Flip edge
-0.66
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
8
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.37

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

14

Points

241.6

Per game

17.26

17-gm pace

293

Best / worst

28.4 / -0.3

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsCmpAttPa YdsPa TDINTRu AttRu YdsRu TD
2-0.3000001-30
30.300000130
419.813201111010541
515.62640202227550
623.617251951013581
728.41533283315111
819.41424193106171
927.22433191208561
1026.31929242006662
1313.61724139104200
1522.12036246219630
160.07133301270
1725.12230207009482
1820.42232230205320