RB
Javonte Williams
DALRB16 · overall #29 · tier 4 · age 26
Projected points
174
12.8/gm
Value over replacement
75
repl 116
Range
142–207
sd 32
Week
12.9
@ HOU
The take
written by hand
Mostly a fade on his touchdowns. He had 11 last year and I have him at 7 — give the 11 back and he vaults straight to ADP RB18. Dallas is 30th of 32 in my run friendliness.
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 46
- Carries
- 224
- Receptions
- 35
- Rec yards
- 208
- Rush yards
- 939
- Rush TD
- 4.9
- Rec TD
- 0.8
- Total TD
- 5.7
- Games projected
- 13.6
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 12.9
- Games of history
- 53
- Age multiplier
- 0.953
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 31.0
- Projected plays / game
- 64.1
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- +0.24
- OL pass protection
- +0.09
- OL continuity
- 86%
- 2TE rate
- 20%
- 3WR rate
- 72%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 49%
- Run friendly
- -0.93
- Scheme creativity
- -0.33
- Play action / motion
- 22% / 52%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- clear lead
- Ambiguity score
- 36
- Effective contributors
- 2.15
- Top player's share
- 66%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.39
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- HOU,TB,GB
- Window matchup
- -0.09
- Opponents after
- PHI,ARI,IND
- After matchup
- +0.38
- Flip edge
- -0.47
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 14
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.44
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
16
Points
207.8
Per game
12.99
17-gm pace
221
Best / worst
25.9 / 3.4
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18.4 | RB2 | 15 | 54 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 0 |
| 2 | 19.0 | RB3 | 18 | 97 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 33 | 0 |
| 3 | 7.2 | RB30 | 10 | 76 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 0 |
| 4 | 16.0 | RB14 | 20 | 85 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 0 |
| 5 | 25.9 | RB3 | 16 | 135 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 6 | 3.4 | RB42 | 13 | 29 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 0 |
| 7 | 17.8 | RB6 | 19 | 116 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 8 | 16.9 | RB9 | 13 | 41 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| 9 | 6.3 | RB27 | 15 | 83 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | 9.3 | RB25 | 22 | 93 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | 10.1 | RB17 | 20 | 87 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 | 14.0 | RB13 | 17 | 59 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 1 |
| 14 | 12.7 | RB16 | 17 | 67 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 15.1 | RB12 | 15 | 91 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 4.3 | RB47 | 9 | 34 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 | 11.4 | RB17 | 13 | 54 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |